Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.001075 0.001220 0.001366 0.001523 0.001686 0.001851 0.002029
2025-11-23 0.000851 0.001060 0.001277 0.001516 0.001771 0.002033 0.002321
2025-11-30 0.000718 0.000979 0.001257 0.001571 0.001910 0.002264 0.002657
2025-12-07 0.000568 0.000863 0.001188 0.001562 0.001975 0.002410 0.002899
2025-12-14 0.000427 0.000741 0.001101 0.001526 0.002003 0.002511 0.003088
2025-12-21 0.000347 0.000682 0.001078 0.001556 0.002098 0.002683 0.003349
2025-12-28 0.000248 0.000587 0.001007 0.001525 0.002122 0.002771 0.003517
2026-01-04 0.000183 0.000526 0.000971 0.001530 0.002181 0.002896 0.003722
2026-01-11 0.000122 0.000459 0.000921 0.001514 0.002215 0.002990 0.003890
2026-01-18 0.000075 0.000402 0.000878 0.001504 0.002252 0.003084 0.004056
2026-01-25 0.000026 0.000319 0.000794 0.001439 0.002222 0.003101 0.004134
2026-02-01 0.000006 0.000274 0.000757 0.001429 0.002254 0.003186 0.004285
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000219 0.000713 0.001424 0.002311 0.003321 0.004519
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000171 0.000672 0.001424 0.002374 0.003465 0.004765
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000151 0.000676 0.001480 0.002506 0.003689 0.005102
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000110 0.000635 0.001474 0.002561 0.003822 0.005337
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000066 0.000576 0.001441 0.002579 0.003913 0.005521
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000048 0.000565 0.001471 0.002676 0.004093 0.005807
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000020 0.000513 0.001441 0.002695 0.004181 0.005987
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000007 0.000488 0.001446 0.002757 0.004318 0.006220
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.000451 0.001431 0.002792 0.004422 0.006414
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.000419 0.001421 0.002831 0.004529 0.006611
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000357 0.001358 0.002798 0.004549 0.006706